9 SEPT = Day 85 in the NSW DELTA WAVE.
Australia recorded 1751 new Covid cases overnight & 5 deaths , NO the wave HASN'T PEAKED..
NSW recorded 1405 new local cases , bringing NSW's total to 33693 in 85 days.
NO SIGNS NSW has PEAKED.
There were 1300 mystery cases ( 92.5% ) <== contact tracing in NSW is clearly still overwhelmed.
There were 5 DELTA deaths in overnight ( 5 in Greater Sydney ) .
LOCKDOWN CHANGES ANNOUNCED for when NSW reaches 70% ( 16yo +) FULLY VAXXED ( Pfizer or AZ ) ,
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/sydney-news-premier-gladys-berejiklian-to-reveal-nsw-roadmap-out-of-lockdown/ar-AAOeDUh?ocid=msedgntp
This will be a desaster, NSW Premier over-road the guidance by her own CHO and the experts to open up at 70% +16yos FULLY VAXXED rather than waiting for 85% +16yos to be FULLY VAXXED.
NOTE
70% +16yo is == 50% ALL people in NSW.
85% +16yo is == 61% ALL people in NSW.
In NSW only 50% of all fully vaxxed people have been vaxxed with Pfizer ,
The Rest have been vaxxed with AZ which is less effective against DELTA.
Unlike Israel and Singapore , where these countries opened up at 80% +16yo FULLY VAXXED WITH MOSTLY Pfizer , they were both very close to ZERO COVID when restrictions were lifted. This wont be the case in NSW , Berejiklian is aping UK and USA , and taking a VERY RISKY approach ( She has already stated NSW is not chasing ZERO COVID like NZ or the state has in the past ,NSW is very unlikely to case numbers under 1 / million / day by mid October .
ScoMo and his Health Minister (Hunt) were revealed to have been robbing the other states and territories to get > 45% of the Pfizer on hand to NSW ( NSW is FUBAR with DELTA due to Premier Berejiklian & NSW Health Minister stuffing up by responding too slowly and too weakly / indecisively to control the Bondi Delta Outbreak before it blew up and exploded across much of Greater Sydney and Regional NSW) .
Expert virologists & epidemiologists are advising H ~ 95% ALL people to ensure ICUs in NSW ARE NOT OVERWHELMED with severe Delta patients.
This will not end well in NSW.
REGIONAL NSW
ISH LGA added 23 cases.
Central Coast LGA added 22 cases.
Far WNSW LGA added 4 cases.
Sth Coast LGA added 3 cases
HNE recorded 12 new local delta cases overnight, 10 infectious in the community (wild). 6 mystery cases.
Total for HNE is now 268.
Zero covid deaths.
Breakdown in HNE
Pt Stephens LGA = 4
all 4 in Nelson Bay all mystery cases in community.
Newcastle LGA = 4
2 in Adamstown Hts (in iso)
1 in Nth Lambton ( in community but linked to known cluster )
1 in Kotara ( mystery case in community )
Lk Macquarie LGA = 3
1 in Catherine Hill Bay ( in iso )
1 in Dora Ck ( in iso )
1 in Woodrising ( mystery case in community )
Cessnock LGA = 1 in Heddon Greta ( in community infected at work in underground coal mine by team member )
WNSW recorded 24 new local delta cases overnight . Their total is now 912 .
Breakdown
Bathurst = 2
Dubbo = 15
Narromine = 2
Walgette = 4
Orange = 1
Victoria recorded a big step change up to 324 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 217 were mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 3035.
0 Delta deaths in Melbourne.
ACT recorded recorded 15 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night ,2 mystery cases , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 440.
0 delta deaths
QLD recorded recorded 1 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night ,0 mystery cases , total in QLD's latest outbreak = 143.
0 delta deaths.
TAS, SA, NT and WA all had OO days recorded, only cases recorded in these states were already in quarantine and all are repats from o/seas.
NZ recorded 13 new delta cases overnight , ALL of these were residents of Auckland. 0 mystery case in Auckland.
This brings NZ's August Delta Outbreak total local cases to 878.
MODELLING
ANALYSIS AND PROJECTIONS
Australia recorded 1751 new Covid cases overnight & 5 deaths , NO the wave HASN'T PEAKED..
NSW recorded 1405 new local cases , bringing NSW's total to 33693 in 85 days.
NO SIGNS NSW has PEAKED.
There were 1300 mystery cases ( 92.5% ) <== contact tracing in NSW is clearly still overwhelmed.
There were 5 DELTA deaths in overnight ( 5 in Greater Sydney ) .
LOCKDOWN CHANGES ANNOUNCED for when NSW reaches 70% ( 16yo +) FULLY VAXXED ( Pfizer or AZ ) ,
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/sydney-news-premier-gladys-berejiklian-to-reveal-nsw-roadmap-out-of-lockdown/ar-AAOeDUh?ocid=msedgntp
This will be a desaster, NSW Premier over-road the guidance by her own CHO and the experts to open up at 70% +16yos FULLY VAXXED rather than waiting for 85% +16yos to be FULLY VAXXED.
NOTE
70% +16yo is == 50% ALL people in NSW.
85% +16yo is == 61% ALL people in NSW.
In NSW only 50% of all fully vaxxed people have been vaxxed with Pfizer ,
The Rest have been vaxxed with AZ which is less effective against DELTA.
Unlike Israel and Singapore , where these countries opened up at 80% +16yo FULLY VAXXED WITH MOSTLY Pfizer , they were both very close to ZERO COVID when restrictions were lifted. This wont be the case in NSW , Berejiklian is aping UK and USA , and taking a VERY RISKY approach ( She has already stated NSW is not chasing ZERO COVID like NZ or the state has in the past ,NSW is very unlikely to case numbers under 1 / million / day by mid October .
ScoMo and his Health Minister (Hunt) were revealed to have been robbing the other states and territories to get > 45% of the Pfizer on hand to NSW ( NSW is FUBAR with DELTA due to Premier Berejiklian & NSW Health Minister stuffing up by responding too slowly and too weakly / indecisively to control the Bondi Delta Outbreak before it blew up and exploded across much of Greater Sydney and Regional NSW) .
Expert virologists & epidemiologists are advising H ~ 95% ALL people to ensure ICUs in NSW ARE NOT OVERWHELMED with severe Delta patients.
This will not end well in NSW.
REGIONAL NSW
ISH LGA added 23 cases.
Central Coast LGA added 22 cases.
Far WNSW LGA added 4 cases.
Sth Coast LGA added 3 cases
HNE recorded 12 new local delta cases overnight, 10 infectious in the community (wild). 6 mystery cases.
Total for HNE is now 268.
Zero covid deaths.
Breakdown in HNE
Pt Stephens LGA = 4
all 4 in Nelson Bay all mystery cases in community.
Newcastle LGA = 4
2 in Adamstown Hts (in iso)
1 in Nth Lambton ( in community but linked to known cluster )
1 in Kotara ( mystery case in community )
Lk Macquarie LGA = 3
1 in Catherine Hill Bay ( in iso )
1 in Dora Ck ( in iso )
1 in Woodrising ( mystery case in community )
Cessnock LGA = 1 in Heddon Greta ( in community infected at work in underground coal mine by team member )
WNSW recorded 24 new local delta cases overnight . Their total is now 912 .
Breakdown
Bathurst = 2
Dubbo = 15
Narromine = 2
Walgette = 4
Orange = 1
Victoria recorded a big step change up to 324 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 217 were mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 3035.
0 Delta deaths in Melbourne.
ACT recorded recorded 15 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night ,2 mystery cases , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 440.
0 delta deaths
QLD recorded recorded 1 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night ,0 mystery cases , total in QLD's latest outbreak = 143.
0 delta deaths.
TAS, SA, NT and WA all had OO days recorded, only cases recorded in these states were already in quarantine and all are repats from o/seas.
NZ recorded 13 new delta cases overnight , ALL of these were residents of Auckland. 0 mystery case in Auckland.
This brings NZ's August Delta Outbreak total local cases to 878.
MODELLING
ANALYSIS AND PROJECTIONS