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Break Room (formerly Off Topic)
Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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[QUOTE="kingofnobbys, post: 1978473, member: 81934"] 17/12/2021 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> NEW ZEALAND'S DELTA WAVE NZ recorded 75 local delta cases overnight , includes 21 mystery cases .Total of local Delta transmissions is now 10146. NZ recorded 1 delta death AGAIN.. 17/12/2021 Omicron ALERT in NZ A child with COVID-19 has died in New Zealand, where three new Omicron cases have been picked up in quarantine. the ministry revealed the child died earlier this week, and was tested for COVID-19 after death as they were a contact of another COVID-19 case. "The death remains under investigation and has been referred to the coroner," a ministry spokesman said. New Zealand remains on high alert for the Omicron variant, first identified in the country's quarantine regime in a Christchurch hotel on Thursday. On Friday night, a further three cases, unlinked to the first, were found while quarantining in Rotorua. The new cases travelled to Auckland from the UK, Spain and Nigeria, transitting via Dubai. Authorities believe further Omicron cases may also be present in quarantine hotels. Three close contacts of NZ's first case, a traveller from Germany, have tested positive for COVID-19, with further testing underway to determine the strain. In an attempt to ringfence the German case, a wide net of close contacts has been drawn, and additional testing ordered. Omicron has not yet been found in the community, and Director General of Health Ashley Bloomfield said an outbreak of Omicron was "by no means inevitable". "We'll continue to do everything we can to make sure we keep Omicron either out of the country or at the border if it does come on a flight," he told Radio NZ. The Ministry of Health is poised to recommend a shorter lead-in time for fully vaccinated Kiwis to get a booster shot, in preparation for Omicron's possible arrival. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/xdCCsH01/17dec2021-NZ-situation.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/W19pJ3ML/17dec2021-NZ-s-OURCES.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/BQ4JYDpf/17dec2021-NZ-cases-overnight-per-location.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/y8rB8GH7/17dec2021-nz.png[/img] >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> OMICRON OUTBREAK 17/12/2021 NSW Omicron +63 = 185 VIC Omicron +6 = 19 NSW's COVID-19 cases are rising at the steepest rate this year with every infected person on average passing the virus onto two other people. NSW and Victoria both recorded about 1,700 COVID-19 cases on Thursday. On the face of it, the two states are on level pegging, but another number tells a very different story. The effective reproductive rate - the measure of how fast the virus is transmitting from one person to another - is now above two in NSW, while in Victoria it is hovering just over one. It means that every positive case in NSW is transmitting the virus to two other people on average. Adrian Esterman, chair of biostatistics and epidemiology at the University of South Australia, said the number indicated cases were growing "at a very steep rate". "So with an effective reproduction number of about two, you're looking at case numbers doubling every four days," Professor Esterman said. NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard said on Wednesday that modelling by UNSW suggested that with a reproductive rate of 1.5, cases could reach 25,000 a day by the end of January. However, he said the modelling was based on data from the UK and South Africa, which was not exactly analogous to the NSW situation. Professor Esterman said a reproductive rate of two did not mean that every case transmitted the virus to two others, but rather it was an average over all positive cases. "There's a wide amount of variability, in the sense that it is a small number of people who cause most of the ongoing infections," he said. "So 10 per cent of infected people caused eighty per cent of infections. In practice, the majority of people infected no-one and just one or two others were superspreaders. superspreader event at The Argyle House nightclub in Newcastle on December 8 has resulted in at least 200 cases in one night. More than 600 cases were identified in the Hunter New England local health district on Wednesday. NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant said on Wednesday that the Omicron variant was driving the high reproductive rate, resulting in an uptick in cases. The total number of confirmed Omicron cases in NSW now stands at 122. Professor Esterman was critical of the NSW government's decision to push ahead with relaxed restrictions on mask-wearing, QR code check-ins and the rules for the unvaccinated. "We know from Europe and other places that vaccination alone, no matter how high, will not stop an outbreak," he said. "You need vaccination, plus some public health measures. And that's exactly what's happened in New South Wales and Victoria until now. "They both had quite strong public health measures and that's why it's been so stable." On Wednesday, Dr Chant urged people to keep wearing masks inside. "It's a very tiny act, and you're actually protecting yourself, but more importantly, you're protecting others," she said. "You often don't know you've got COVID, and you're infectious," she said. NSW Health also changed the definition of a close contact on Wednesday, where only household contacts of a case and those who had been to a high risk venue would need to isolate for seven days. Professor Esterman said an effective reproductive rate of about one meant case numbers were stable and below one meant the outbreak was dying out. The chart above shows how the effective reproduction rate fell during the NSW lockdown as vaccinations and restrictions took effect ( AZ , Pfizer mostly against Delta + mask mandates and soc distancing & good contact tracing ) He said booster shots were one of the few ways to control the Omicron variant. "If I was running the government, I'd be reducing it down to a three month time period, because that's the minimum recommended by FDA," he said. Booster shots are currently recommended five months after the primary course of vaccination. OUTLINE OF AUSTRALIA OMICON STIUATION TODAY >>>>>>>> NSW = 185 ACT = 5 NT = 2 QLD = 3 VIC = 19 SA = 2 WA = 2 TOT OMICRON = 218 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> [/QUOTE]
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