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Break Room (formerly Off Topic)
Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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[QUOTE="kingofnobbys, post: 1973667, member: 81934"] 19 SEPT = Day 95 in the NSW DELTA WAVE Australia recorded 1610 new Covid cases overnight & 14 deaths . [img]https://i.postimg.cc/TY1VrT3x/19-SEPT2021-CLUSTERS.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/8c56BbD4/19-SEPT2021-MYSTERY-cases.png[/img] NSW recorded ANOTHER BAD DAY in the pandemic with 1083 new local cases , bringing NSW's total to 48792 in 95 days . NSW Premier claims there are signs NSW's case load is stabilizing - looking at the RAW data I see obvious SIGNS NSW has "stabilized" , and being a retired expert engineer process control and modelling I see real evidence to support her claim. The NSW curve has a SLIGHTLY decreased slope of 1.035 for the period day 84 to day 94 cf with a slope of 1.065 for the period day 63 to day 73. Stabilization ==> to me from an engineering & physics and math modelling viewpoint means the slope should be 1.01 to 0.99 . Today mystery cases = 1083 = 100% Yesterday's mystery cases have been adjusted and are now 1213 ( 91.1 % ). <== contact tracing in NSW is clearly still overwhelmed. There were 13 DELTA deaths in overnight (12 in Greater Sydney , 1 in WNSW ) . This is officially NSW's DEADLIEST DAY of the entire pandemic thus far. In Greater Sydney , from Midnight , all residents in all LHAs are on common lockdown and restriction settings ( Stage 3 PLUS ) and curfew has been lifted. A large community of high rise housing commission ( low cost ) towers with 10s of 1000s of disadvantaged & disabled and elderly tenants in Redfern have been forced into mandatory quarantine as a consequence of Delta outbreaks in these high density low cost unit towers , and an emergency vax blitz in these communities has been underway to try to head off the large Delta outbreak in these towers . Residents are under guard and NOT ALLOWED to leave , all their needs are being met by NSW Health , NSW Police , SES , and ADF personnel including 24/7 onsite medical services and mental health services. In HOTSPOT LHAs in Greater Sydney local public pools will reopen next week. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/FHN7y4vp/19-SEPT2021-NSW-LGAS-SUMMARY.png[/img] SYDNEY LHAs [img]https://i.postimg.cc/CKdM7MQG/19sept2021-sydney-delta-situation-by-LGA-DATA-10-DAYS.png[/img] Overnight breakdown for Greater Sydney 302 are from South Western Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 293 are from Western Sydney LHD, 159 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD, 115 are from Sydney LHD, 26 are from Northern Sydney LHD. REGIONAL NSW LGAs ILLAWARRA - SHOALHAVEN, & CENTRAL COAST LHAs Worryingly , while some of hardest hit Sydney LHAs have apparently seen a reduction in Delta cases this weekend , there have been significan increases in Delta cases in the LGAs immediately adjacent to Greater Sydney such as Illawarra-Shoelhaven LHA and Central Coast LHA , the local communities are very alarmed by the observed large increases in slope of their LHA's curves ( <== daily case numbers , indicative of a very LEAKY stage 4 LK DOWN in SW & SE Sydney to Illawarra Shoelhaven LHA and from SE & N Sydney to Central Coast LHA ) and a lack of MHO comoliance in these communities.. ILLAWARRA - SHOALHAVEN, NEPEAN - BLUE MTs, CENTRAL COAST , W & FarW NSW [img]https://i.postimg.cc/FzKYb3wh/19-SEPT2021-CTLCST-ISH-N-BLUEMTS-W-FARW-NSW-DAILY-CASES-AND-log10-CUMMUL-TOTALS.png[/img] Overnight breakdown 64 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD, 48 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, 20 are from Central Coast LHD. 13 are from Hunter New England LHD, 10 are from Far West LHD, 8 are from Western NSW LHD. HUNTER-NEW ENGLAND , W NSW AND ACT [img]https://i.postimg.cc/4ND3yD4f/19-SEPT2021-REGIONAL-NSW-MAJOR-DELTA-OUTBREAKS.png[/img] Overnight breakdown 13 are from Hunter New England LHD, 10 are from Far West LHD, 8 are from Western NSW LHD with 1 Delta death. HUNTER - NEW ENGLAND LGAs HNE recorded 13 new local delta cases overnight, Total for HNE is now 440 . 0 covid deaths.. DETAILED BREAKDOWN FOR HNE LGAs The 13 new cases take the total number in the current outbreak to 434. There are currently 267 active cases. 9 are from Newcastle LGA - 4 in Maryville - 2 in Merewether - 1 in Newcastle East - 1 in New Lambton - 1 in Tarro 3 are from Lake Macquarie LGA - 1 in Dora Creek - 1 in Mount Hutton - 1 in West Wallsend 1 is from Maitland LGA - 1 in Metford 17 of the total active cases are currently being cared for in hospital. 2 are in ICU. 7 are linked. 4 are unlinked, and 2 are still under investigation. 9 were infectious in the community. 2 were isolating while infectious. 2 is still under investigation. 576 close contacts are in isolation. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/VkSmqD67/19-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-CHART.png[/img] WNSW & FWNSW LHAs WNSW recorded 8 new local delta cases overnight . Their total is now 1069 .BUT they also recorded their 2nd Delta Death of the pandemic as well. FWNSW added 10 . Their total is now 155. 0 Delta deaths. DETAILED BREAKDOWN FOR WNSW LGAs Up to 8pm last night there have been 8 new cases identified in the Western NSW Local Health District. They are in the following Local Government Areas (LGA): 6 in Dubbo, 2 in Walgett. 2 of the cases located in Dubbo LGA are from Wellington. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/1XHwKyWZ/19-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-CHART.png[/img] OTHER REGIONAL NSW 7 are from Southern NSW LHD, total = 59 , 3 are from Mid North Coast LHD, total = 7 , 1 is from Northern NSW LHD, total = 2 . OO day for Murrumbidgee LHD , total = 7. Others 8 are in correctional settings, and 6 cases are yet to be assigned to an LHD. VICTORIA Victoria recorded 507 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night all were mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 7592. 1 Delta death in Victoria,. REGIONAL VICTORIA Ballarat is in Stage 4 lockdown. Geelong, Surf Coast Shire and Mitchell Shire in country Victoria are going back into Stage 4 lockdown from 11.59pm on Sunday after a sudden spike in cases. Restrictions in the 3 areas will be the same as those in the City of Ballarat and metropolitan Melbourne BUT excluding the curfew. Caseloads in Greater Geelong and Mitchell Shire have seen a sharp rise with 17 and 15 active cases in each respectively to Saturday. A further 2 new cases in Geelong, 2 on the Surf Coast and 7 new cases in Mitchell Shire were confirmed in Sunday's numbers. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/vTBfXpCg/19-SEPT2021-VIC-MELB-LGAS-SUMMARY.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/vZqDM32M/19sept2021-vic-heatmap-by-LGA.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/g2QdN5Bw/19sept2021-vic-demographics.png[/img] ACT recorded recorded 17 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night AGAIN , 6 mystery case , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 619. 0 delta deaths. QLD recorded recorded a OO DAY. . 0 delta deaths. QLD has extended eligibility for Pfizer to ALL ADULTS , similar will apply to Moderna . They had huge numbers of people showing up at walkin vax hubs that many ran dry and had to ask people to go elsewhere for their Pfizer jabs. QLD's daily vax record was crushed today. SA recorded recorded 1 new LOCAL case of Delta o/night YESTERDAY a mystery case , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 4. 0 delta deaths. TAS, NT and WA all had OO days recorded, only cases recorded in these states were already in quarantine and all are repats from o/seas. NZ recorded 22 new delta cases AGAIN overnight , ALL of these were residents of Auckland. 0 mystery caseS in Auckland. NZ's cumulated total of local Delta transmissions is now 1061 . Zero deaths today. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/TPcxfw3b/19-SEPT2021-NZ-cases.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/sX6RGNSD/19-SEPT2021-NZ-cases-overnight-per-location.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/28Bf3T5r/19-SEPT2021-NZ.png[/img] MODELLING AND PROJECTION [img]https://i.postimg.cc/qBWvmNhB/19-SEPT2021-MODELLING.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/g2WkW1Hf/19-SEPT2021-MODELLING-PROJECTION.png[/img] [/QUOTE]
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Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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