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Break Room (formerly Off Topic)
Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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[QUOTE="kingofnobbys, post: 1973511, member: 81934"] 14 SEPT = Day 90 in the NSW DELTA WAVE <<< 4 deaths from Delta >>> Australia recorded 1606 new Covid cases overnight & 4 deaths , press and news commentators are excitedly claiming the Wave has peaked based on the last 3 days of numbers in NSW --- NO the wave HASN'T PEAKED.. Claims made that the 70% to 80% +16yos partially vaxxed ( mostly w/ AZ and not Pfizer ) is having a marked effect on the spread of Delta in Greater Sydney .... sure 30-33% protection from symptomatic infection might be impacting on the number of pple presenting because they feel sick and being testing , BUT more likely this is high +16yo's partially vaxxed will really masking the spread because 1) the partially vaxxed have a false sense of security ( think they are immune ) 2) they may not get set enough to go get tested or stay home (iso) , but can still spread the Delta strain. Anyone with any knowledge of process control and 6Sigma will know to treat the last few days NSW case numbers with suspicion, at best what we are seeing is temporary run with a negative slope. Needs to be more sustained to call it a trend and make the call that the cases have peaked. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/6qwvgFnP/14-SEPT2021-CLUSTERS.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/Y0pvbYwK/14-SEPT2021-MYSTERY-cases.png[/img] NSW recorded ANOTHER BAD DAY in the pandemic with 1128 new local cases , bringing NSW's total to 40489 in 90 days. NO SIGNS NSW has PEAKED. Today mystery cases = 1025 = 90.9% <== contact tracing in NSW is clearly still overwhelmed. There were 2 DELTA deaths in overnight ( all 2 in Greater Sydney ) . [img]https://i.postimg.cc/qv7ZW5Gg/14-SEPT2021-NSW-LGAS-SUMMARY.png[/img] SYDNEY LHAs [img]https://i.postimg.cc/BntMm1qK/14sept2021-sydney-delta-situation-by-LGA-today-data.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/X7Y8vyBz/14sept2021-sydney-delta-situation-by-LGA.png[/img] CENTRAL COAST + ILLAWARRA - SHOALHAVEN + NEPEAN-BLUE MTS LGAs [img]https://i.postimg.cc/K8XRH6bD/14-SEPT2021-CTLCST-ISH-N-BLUEMTS-CURVES-AND-DAILY-CASES-todays-data.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/Z5ZyqGQK/14-SEPT2021-CTLCST-ISH-N-BLUEMTS-CURVES-AND-DAILY-CASES.png[/img] CENTRAL COAST LGA ADDED 9, TOTAL = 275 ILLAWARRA - SHOALHAVEN LGA added 17 , TOTAL = 413 NEPEAN - BLUE MTS LGA added 58, TOTAL = 2357 Yass Valley LGA is back into Stage 3 lockdown after confirmed Delta cases found in the LGA , [img]https://i.postimg.cc/ht5M68MB/screenshot-544.png[/img] Young LGA is expected to be in Stage 2 lockdown soon after very high concns of Delta fragments found in local sewerage. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/5yQf5SP2/screenshot-545.png[/img] OUTSIDE GREATER SYDNEY = REGIONAL NSW [img]https://i.postimg.cc/x1WhHPKC/14-SEPT2021-REGIONAL-NSW-MAJOR-DELTA-OUTBREAKS.png[/img] HUNTER - NEW ENGLAND LGAs HNE DELTA OUTBREAKS HNE recorded 18 new local delta cases overnight, Total for HNE is now 330. Zero covid deaths. 3 in Lake Maquarie LGA Wangi Wangi = 2 Wyee Pt = 1 7 in Newcastle LGA Wallsend = 1 Nth Lambton = 1 Mayfield & Mayfield West = 5 1 in Port Stephens LGA Raymond Terrace = 1 1 in Maitland / Cessnock LGAs Tenambit = 1 2 in Mid Hunter Valley LGA Singleton = 2 [img]https://i.postimg.cc/pVs0Kt8r/14-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA1.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/DwXBVJN4/14-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA2.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/LXHTZy8j/14-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA.png[/img] WNSW recorded 14 new local delta cases overnight . Their total is now 996 . FWNSW added 5 . Their total is now 138. Mother and young child both severely ill with Delta have been transferred by RFDS air ambulance from Broken Hill's Far West Regional Hospital to Adelaide today. 0 Delta death. Breakdown Dubbo added 11 Walgette added 3 [img]https://i.postimg.cc/1t7skjgH/14-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA1.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/x8LpvkSz/14-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-CHART1.png[/img] Southern NSW added 4 Delta Cases , zero deaths. Victoria recorded 435 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 316 were mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 5110. 2 Delta deaths in Melbourne. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/5yJTk5g3/14-SEPT2021-VIC-MELB-LGAS-SUMMARY.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/1zNdm7YB/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-activity-metro-LGAs-data.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/4dQByDv6/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-activity-metro-LGAs.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/MTqmCskv/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-active-clusters.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/J7djx7hy/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-activity.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/WzDFCr4d/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-mystery-cases.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/02DdNR8b/14-SEPT2021-VICTORIA-LINKED-AND-UNLINKED-CASES.png[/img] ACT recorded recorded 22 new LOCAL AGAIN cases of Delta o/night ,8 mystery case , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 529. 0 delta deaths. ACT Stage 4 lockdown has been extended til at least 15 October 2021. ACT CHO says ACT will NOT open up to free travel even for FULLY VAXXED NSW resident until the Delta situation is under control and daily case number very low. QLD recorded recorded 1 local Delta case today, total in QLD's latest outbreak = 152. 0 delta deaths. NSW - QLD Border Bubble has been loosened. Interstate truck drivers entering QLD bubble from NSW are now mandatorially required to present for covid testing on entering the NSW -QLD Border Bubble. SA , TAS, NT and WA all had OO days recorded, only cases recorded in these states were already in quarantine and all are repats from o/seas. NZ recorded 15 new delta cases overnight , ALL of these were residents of Auckland. 0 mystery caseS in Auckland. NZ's cumulated total of local Delta transmissions is now 980 . Zero deaths today. Auckland's Level 4 lockdown has been extended by a week til next Wednesday. TransTasman travel Bubble remains suspended for at least another week. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/ZY7KyC5Q/14-SEPT2021-NZ-cases-overnight-per-location.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/wjKzhJ8w/14-SEPT2021-NZ.png[/img] MODELING AND PROJECTIONS [img]https://i.postimg.cc/XJPmnSns/14-SEPT2021-MODELLING.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/LsY0vQtf/14-SEPT2021-MODELLING-PROJECTION.png[/img] [/QUOTE]
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Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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