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Break Room (formerly Off Topic)
Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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[QUOTE="kingofnobbys, post: 1973194, member: 81934"] 6 SEPT = Day 82 in the NSW DELTA WAVE. Australia recorded 1548 new Covid cases overnight & 6 deaths ( 5 in Greater Sydney , 1 in Western NSW ) , NO the wave HASN'T PEAKED.. NSW recorded 1281 new local cases , bringing NSW's total to 29588 in 82 days. A small wobble in RIGHT DIRECTION BUT NO - NOT SIGNS NSW has PEAKED. There were 1167 mystery cases ( 91.6% ) <== contact tracing in NSW is clearly still overwhelmed. There were 6 DELTA deaths in overnight ( all in NSW , 5 in Sydney ). [img]https://i.postimg.cc/nzfqRXLP/6-SEPT2021-CLUSTERS.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/9fkcC99L/6-SEPT2021-MYSTERY-cases.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/GhmgJ5Vs/6sept2021-daily-deaths-2wks-nsw.png[/img] Major Outbreaks with new cases overnight [img]https://i.postimg.cc/QxVV7cgJ/6-SEPT2021-NSW-OUTBREAKS.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/XNGTyJGy/6sept2021-nsw-sumary-and-outbreaks.png[/img] Premier Berejiklian says NSW Health have modelling that suggests NSW Delta daily cases will peak in next 2 to 3 weeks and will be around 3000 cases per day soon. [url=https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/how-will-hospitals-cope-when-nsw-covid-cases-hit-2-000-a-day-here-s-what-the-modelling-says/ar-AAO8NTh?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531]https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/how-will-hospitals-cope-when-nsw-covid-cases-hit-2-000-a-day-here-s-what-the-modelling-says/ar-AAO8NTh?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531[/url] NSW Health are planning for ICUs to be overwhelmed in October , critical ICU patients will end up being moved to regional and interstate ICUs when ICUs in Greater Sydney are overcapacity ( ~ 24Oct is the projection ). [url=https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/sydney/hospitals-prepare-emergency-plans-for-icu-operations-to-reach-overwhelming-status/ar-AAO963t?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531]https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/sydney/hospitals-prepare-emergency-plans-for-icu-operations-to-reach-overwhelming-status/ar-AAO963t?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531[/url] Unfortunately the modelling fails to take into account the superspreading in the "freedom" protests / riots just over a week ago and make no compensation for plateauing of vax rollout , and assumes too high an efficacy in keeping Delta patients out of hospital and then out of ICU . REGIONAL NSW [img]https://i.postimg.cc/KcfJjhQg/6-SEPT2021-REGIONAL-NSW-MAJOR-DELTA-OUTBREAKS.png[/img] HNE recorded 5 new local delta cases overnight, ALL infectious in the community (wild). Total for HNE is now 238. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/bYSQnGxb/6-SEPT2021-HNE-DAILY-CASES-DETAILS.png[/img] Wild Delta cases in Lake Macquarie LGA = 3 ( = 1 each in Cardiff, Macquarie Hills, Toronto) , Maitland LGA = 1 in Chisholm Port Stephens LGA = 1 in Nelson Bay. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/gkjYxdyw/6-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-W-NEW-CASES.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/4NjTncNM/6-SEPT2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA.png[/img] WNSW recorded 44 new local delta cases overnight and their 2nd Delta death ( also in the tribal community) . Their total is now 834 . [img]https://i.postimg.cc/G2RDR9yT/6-SEPT2021-western-nsw-cases.png[/img] Dubbo added 35 delta cases overnight. Burke added 6 delta cases overnight. Narromine added 1 delta case overnight. Orange added 2 delta cases overnight. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/m2kHBvtj/6-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-WITH-NEW-CASES-1.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/RFGWzdm2/6-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-WITH-NEW-CASES-2.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/9QTzfCVd/6-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-WITH-NEW-CASES-3.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/6qypxNYG/6-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-CHART1.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/nLpVcm3x/6-SEPT2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-CHART2.png[/img] Other Regional NSW. ISH recorded 21 new delta cases overnight Central Coast recorded 8 new delta cases overnight. FWNSW recorded 7 new delta cases overnight. Sth Coast recorded 5 new delta cases overnight. Victoria recorded 246 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 125 were mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 2244. 0 Delta deaths in Melbourne. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/WpBn3mJx/6sept2021-sumary-and-outbreaks-vic.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/YSDNwQHn/6sept2021-daily-deaths-2wks-vic.png[/img] ACT recorded Victoria recorded 11 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 2 mystery cases , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 386. Zero delta deaths. QLD , TAS, SA, NT and WA all had OO days recorded, only cases recorded in these states were already in quarantine and all are repats from o/seas. Hospitalisation situation [img]https://i.postimg.cc/gjzGqLwp/6sept2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-snapshot-summary-AU.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/jdkRP5RV/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-AU.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/4xDZ2SKB/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-nsw.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/fyRh04FT/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-vic.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/hPXkF0Rw/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-qld.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/cLQ5Z99D/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-sa.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/d1S5nz30/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-act.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/Cxgpjf9Q/6-SEPT2021-DAILY-HOSPITALISATION-2-WKS-SNAPSHOT-DATA-nt.png[/img] NZ recorded 24 new delta cases AGAIN overnight , ALL of these were residents of Auckland. This brings NZ's August Delta Outbreak total local cases to 834. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/KzXPzx1B/6sept2021-nz-clusters.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/kMsSrxvx/6-SEPT2021-NZ.png[/img] Auckland to remain in Level 4 Hard Lockdown for at least another 2 weeks. Rest of NZ moves from Level 3 to Level 2 restrictions. MODELLING [img]https://i.postimg.cc/ryZpCg9Y/6-SEPT2021-MODELLING.png[/img] Projection R = 1.06 projected high by 5.19% of NSW's total to 28327 = err = + 1535. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/TYWTjx1p/6-SEPT2021-MODELLING-PROJECTION.png[/img] [/QUOTE]
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