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Break Room (formerly Off Topic)
Life under social isolation or mandatory "stay home orders".
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[QUOTE="kingofnobbys, post: 1972868, member: 81934"] 28 AUGUST UPDATE a SHOCKING day in the NSW DELTA WAVE .. YET ANOTHER RECORD SET FOR LOCAL CASES IN NSW & AUSTRALIA. NSW recorded 1035 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 869 mystery cases ( 84% ) , all but 45 were in Greater Sydney . Total in 73 days for NSW = 17791. 2 more deaths. NSW's Positivity = 0.8% today. It's beyond a pail that the NSW Covid Cabinet chose NOT TO TIGHTEN the lockdowns in Greater Sydney to further reduce mixing / Delta spread in more metro LGAs , INSTEAD they decided to allow people to get married with small gatherings at their marriage service , AGAIN EXACT OPPOSITE of WHAT IS REQUIRED to bring this OUT OF CONTROL DELTA WAVE in many Greater Sydney LGA's to heal and start forcing the curve in the right direction. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/2SdGX19J/28-AUGUST2021-CLUSTERS.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/vBx3h3J7/28-AUGUST2021-MYSTERY-cases.png[/img] NSW MAJOR OUTBREAKS [img]https://i.postimg.cc/Cxv7V3YH/28august2021-clusters-details.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/tRhzgZpg/28august2021-clusters-details-pt2.png[/img] Today NSW's Delta Wave surpassed the cumulative total of local cases for the same period of 73 days into the Wave that was set by Melbourne's 2nd Covid Wave 12 months ago almost to the day. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/wvvj81XF/28august2021-compare-SYDNEY-DELTA-WAVE-w-MELBOURNE-2nd-WAVE.png[/img] Major differences between Melbourne's 2nd Covid Wave & NSW's Delta Wave 1) Melbourne was fighting SARS-CoV-2 , Ro ~ 5.8 , NSW & Sydney & HNE & WNSW are fighting Delta , Ro ~ 14. 2) Victoria went to Stage 4 HARD lockdown much earlier than NSW did. 3) Victoria's curve peaked @ ~ day 55 , NSW's curve has not yet peaked and shows no sign of doing so @ day 73. 4) Victoria's cases numbers were dropping and had fallen to ~200/day by day 73 , NSW's case numbers rate increase has actually increased ( there has been a step change & increased rampup since the "freedom" riot in Sydney 1 week ago ) . REGIONAL NSW [img]https://i.postimg.cc/FRbJhS35/28-AUGUST2021-REGIONAL-NSW-MAJOR-DELTA-OUTBREAKS.png[/img] HNE [img]https://i.postimg.cc/qqRBW6GG/28-AUGUST2021-HNE-DAILY-CASES-DETAIL.png[/img] Lambton is only 4km away. Too close. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/yYRCxTWZ/28-AUGUST2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/8k2PZc6L/28-AUGUST2021-HNE-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA.png[/img] WNSW Wilcannia township has 10% Delta positivity, which is great concern as many WNSW aboriginal communities are still clan based and as aboriginals have many covid comorbidities such as heart, kidney, and lung issues along with high levels of diabetes. And many are social security dependent and the region is very sparsely served by health clinics and there are very long distances involved to reach high quality hospital care ( usually involves RFDS doing an emergency airlift or medivac flight , often from makeshift runways ( ie a dirt road, or sports field or a treeless are on a sheep or cattle station). [img]https://i.postimg.cc/ZqnSbzNT/28-AUGUST-WESTERN-NSW-CASES.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/htPFsRp9/28-AUGUST2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-P1.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/QMH2LkLC/28-AUGUST2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-P2.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/6qNgGk84/28-AUGUST2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-P3.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/J7b9WzFN/28-AUGUST2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA-DATA-P4.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/3wvtCL5X/28-AUGUST2021-WNSW-EPIDEMIOLOGICAL-CURVES-BY-LGA.png[/img] Victoria recorded 64 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 15 mystery cases , total in Victoria's latest outbreak = 880. Victoria's Positivity = 0.12% today. Regional Victoria Shepparton LGA Delta cluster has grown overnight to 85 . ACT recorded 26 new LOCAL cases of Delta o/night , 6 mystery are cases , total in ACT's latest outbreak = 230. ACT's positivity = 0.76% today. QLD, SA, NT, TAS, WA all recorded OO o/night. NZ recorded 82 new LOCAL Delta cases overnight, total for NZ's latest Delta outbreak = 429. ALL in Auckland. NZ positivity = 0.15% total. [img]https://i.postimg.cc/LsXQFSW2/screenshot-481.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/4yZzZb3V/screenshot-483.png[/img] [img]https://i.postimg.cc/50f02Pw4/screenshot-484.png[/img] MODELLING [img]https://i.postimg.cc/yN6LKKkv/28-AUGUST2021-MODELLING.png[/img] LATEST Projection 3 Error = -1.37% ==> projection 3 is 244 low on the cumulative total of 17791. [/QUOTE]
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